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How many copies did Tales of Berseria™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 651k–1.1M
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales of Berseria™ and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales of Berseria™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–3.0M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Tales of Berseria™

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $22.1M–$22.3M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 5) and JRPG (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + JRPG, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry JRPG + Female Protagonist + Hack and Slash; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Yakuza 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAction
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.