How much revenue did Megaton Rainfall make?

$350k–$940k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Megaton Rainfall sell?

Q: How many copies did Megaton Rainfall sell?

79k to 129k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 79k–129k; $350k–$940k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Megaton Rainfall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Megaton Rainfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–8.7M

best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)

Games like Megaton Rainfall

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–8.7M copies

≈ $60.4M–$86.7M after Steam's cut

from ~140k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 403 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 38k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Superhero (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
9 Days 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–90k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $229k–$617k after Steam's cut $417k–$949k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureAction
Street Hero 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	51 reviews Mostly Positive	FightingSuperhero
Just Cause™ 3 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSuperhero
Mall of Mayhem 2022	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	26 reviews Mixed	SingleplayerVillain Protagonist
Super-Patriota Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$1.99	173 reviews Very Positive	SimulationPolitics