How much revenue did OutDrive make?

$159k–$426k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OutDrive sell?

Q: How many copies did OutDrive sell?

193k to 313k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 193k–313k; $159k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$656k before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OutDrive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OutDrive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–38.0M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like OutDrive

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–38.0M copies

≈ $17.6M–$210.0M after Steam's cut

from ~98k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Automobile Sim (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Automobile Sim (3 of 8) and Driving (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Rocket League® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 28.3M–46.0M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	580k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
City Car Driving 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDriving
Euro Truck Simulator 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 59.7M–97.0M 9.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	944k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DrivingTransportation
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
Stumble Guys 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	139k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
The Long Drive 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	57k reviews Very Positive	DrivingOpen World
Transformice 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer