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How many copies did Mind Games sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
from 215 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mind Games and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mind Games's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 72k–121k
best case 1.8M (Liar's Bar)
Games like Mind Games

A typical game among these

≈ 72k–121k copies

≈ $38k–$630k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Board Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Liar's Bar at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 756 reviews in their first month; the range was 50 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (4 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Puzzle, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Strategy + Indie + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pleasure Puzzle:Portrait 趣拼拼:肖像画
2018
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ColorfulTabletop
Niche - a genetics survival game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyAdventure
Root
2020
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$572k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameTabletop
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
26x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Puzzle Together Multiplayer Jigsaw Puzzles
2020
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Faerie Solitaire
2010
Est. copies
≈ 160k–259k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireCasual
Sudocats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualCats
Pixel Puzzles Ultimate Jigsaw Puzzles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 69k–113k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleBoard Game

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