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How big is Protonwar?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–6k
from 114 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Protonwar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Protonwar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 57k–99k
best case 71k (STRIDE)
Games like Protonwar

A typical game among these

≈ 57k–99k copies

≈ $492k–$519k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: STRIDE at ≈ 54k–88k copies, ≈ $296k–$797k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 303 reviews in their first month; the range was 70 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Sports, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Smashbox Arena
2016
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
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Very Positive
VRFunny
Vox Machinae
2022
Est. copies
≈ 32k–53k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$267k–$717k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRMechs
Zombie Training Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$532k before Steam's cut
$19.99
562 reviews
Very Positive
ActionVR
BlazeRush
2014
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$267k–$717k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingVehicular Combat
STRIDE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$296k–$797k after Steam's cut $539k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRAction
Hyper Dash
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
393 reviews
Very Positive
Arena ShooterFPS
Grapple Tournament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
356 reviews
Very Positive
VRArena Shooter
Combots
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
$4.99
594 reviews
Very Positive
IndieVR

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