How much revenue did STRIDE make?

$296k–$797k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did STRIDE sell?

Q: How many copies did STRIDE sell?

54k to 88k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 54k–88k; $296k–$797k after Steam's cut $539k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STRIDE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STRIDE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–3.2M

best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)

Games like STRIDE

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–3.2M copies

≈ $24.4M–$37.1M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 42k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (4 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Anime, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Driving + Automobile Sim + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	282k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm