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How many copies did Nine Parchments sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 164k–266k
$899k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nine Parchments and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nine Parchments's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–6k
best case 9k (Ants Took My Eyeball)
Games like Nine Parchments

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–6k copies

≈ $11k–$30k after Steam's cut

from ~88 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Ants Took My Eyeball at ≈ 6k–11k copies, ≈ $23k–$62k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 112.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Twin Stick Shooter (6 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Loot + Action Roguelike, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Riverbond
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$24.99
161 reviews
Very Positive
Ants Took My Eyeball
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$12.99
262 reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLoot
Hostile Lands
2026
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$707–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$7.99
13 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Circuit Breakers
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$6.99
116 reviews
Mixed
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Solar Purge
2020
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$24.99
35 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessTwin Stick Shooter
Trident's Wake
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut
$14.99
119 reviews
Mostly Negative
Twin Stick ShooterTop-Down Shooter
Gerty
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$14.99
46 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeIndie
Ammo and Oxygen
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$14.99
60 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessTop-Down Shooter

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