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How many copies did Riverbond sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
from 161 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Riverbond and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Riverbond's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 267k–669k
best case 640k (Minecraft Dungeons)
Games like Riverbond

A typical game among these

≈ 267k–669k copies

≈ $1.4M–$5.2M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Minecraft Dungeons at ≈ 487k–792k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 238 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler + Hack and Slash, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crawl
2017
Est. copies
≈ 252k–409k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLocal Multiplayer
Ancient Dungeon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$241k–$649k after Steam's cut $439k–$998k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Gauntlet™ Slayer Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 577k–937k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Barony
2015
Est. copies
≈ 888k–1.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.1M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Hammerwatch
2013
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Chronicon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 241k–392k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$928k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
LootAction RPG
Minecraft Dungeons
2021
Est. copies
≈ 487k–792k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerHack and Slash
Dungeons of Sundaria
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$244k–$655k after Steam's cut $443k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.