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How many copies did Barony sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 888k–1.4M
$4.9M–$13.1M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut
from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Barony and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Barony's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 229k–286k
best case 3.4M (Gunfire Reborn)
Games like Barony

A typical game among these

≈ 229k–286k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gunfire Reborn at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (7 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-lite, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ember Knights
2023
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$961k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Moon Hunters
2016
Est. copies
≈ 218k–354k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$898k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
RelaxingRogue-lite
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Lost Castle / 失落城堡
2016
Est. copies
≈ 998k–1.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
4 Player LocalAction Roguelike
Heroes of Hammerwatch
2018
Est. copies
≈ 290k–471k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
Nobody Saves the World
2022
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerIndie
Rotwood
2026
Est. copies
≈ 202k–329k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessHack and Slash

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