How much revenue did Lost Castle / 失落城堡 make?

$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lost Castle / 失落城堡 sell?

Q: How many copies did Lost Castle / 失落城堡 sell?

998k to 1.6M copies, based on its 24k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 998k–1.6M; $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut; from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Castle / 失落城堡 and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Castle / 失落城堡's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 294k–843k

best case 886k (PlateUp!)

Games like Lost Castle / 失落城堡

A typical game among these

≈ 294k–843k copies

≈ $1.7M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (3 of 6), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PlateUp! at ≈ 675k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (3 of 6) and Co-op (3 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Management, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Barony 2015	Est. copies ≈ 888k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.1M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Chronicon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 241k–392k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $928k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$13.99	10k reviews Very Positive	LootAction RPG
PlateUp! 2022	Est. copies ≈ 675k–1.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Management
Vagante 2018	Est. copies ≈ 153k–249k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $631k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Moon Hunters 2016	Est. copies ≈ 218k–354k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $898k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	RelaxingRogue-lite
Spelunky 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 545k–886k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Platformer2D Platformer