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How many copies did Medal of Honor™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 709k–1.2M
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.1M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Medal of Honor™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Medal of Honor™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.0M–18.9M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Medal of Honor™

A typical game among these

≈ 9.0M–18.9M copies

≈ $67.4M–$158.1M after Steam's cut

from ~262k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 73k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 165k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry e-sports + Competitive + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Battlefield™ 2042
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$133.3M–$358.3M after Steam's cut $242.3M–$551.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
326k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut $167.6M–$381.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
270k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Insurgency
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.3M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS

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