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How many copies did Mini Golf Arena sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$161k before Steam's cut
from 519 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Golf Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Golf Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–5k
best case 2.5M (Golf With Your Friends)
Games like Mini Golf Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–5k copies

≈ $5k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~87 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Golf With Your Friends at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies, ≈ $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 26k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Golf (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mini Golf + Sports, priced around $29. The breakout hits carry Funny + Multiplayer + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

3D MiniGolf
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
$4.99
88 reviews
Mixed
SportsCasual
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
872x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Ballistic Mini Golf
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$4.99
88 reviews
Mixed
IndieEarly Access
Golf Monday
2024
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
11 reviews
Positive
SportsCasual
Super Inefficient Golf
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$4.99
218 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsCasual
Golf It!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
358x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$8.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerMini Golf
Mini Golf Club
2020
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$14.99
24 reviews
Positive
IndieCasual
Forest Golf Planner
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$8.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual

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