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How big is Trick & Treat?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 101k–164k
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trick & Treat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trick & Treat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 155k–461k
best case 553k (Grimm's Hollow)
Games like Trick & Treat

A typical game among these

≈ 155k–461k copies

≈ $11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grimm's Hollow at ≈ 421k–684k copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (5 of 8) and Psychological Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.4x vs typical
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异化之恶〇Abnormal Treatment
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RPGMakerRPG
Yume Nikki
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Est. copies
≈ 324k–526k
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IndieFree to Play
Grimm's Hollow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
At Home Alone
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≈ 58k–94k
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RPG Maker VX Ace
2012
Est. copies
≈ 328k–533k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.1M before Steam's cut
$69.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG

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