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How many copies did The Shadowland sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
from 122 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Shadowland and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Shadowland's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–141k
best case 327k (Wuppo: Definitive Edition)
Games like The Shadowland

A typical game among these

≈ 38k–141k copies

≈ $297k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Wuppo: Definitive Edition at ≈ 249k–404k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 224 reviews in their first month; the range was 85 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

La-Mulana
2013
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$689k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
La-Mulana 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$228k–$613k after Steam's cut $414k–$943k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureMetroidvania
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Greak: Memories of Azur
2021
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$212k–$571k after Steam's cut $386k–$878k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
AtmosphericFantasy
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
Janosik
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
689 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Alwa's Legacy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$329k before Steam's cut
$17.99
648 reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer

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