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How many copies did Bad Pad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bad Pad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bad Pad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–64k
best case 239k (Prince of Persia The Lost Crown)
Games like Bad Pad

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–64k copies

≈ $96k–$629k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Prince of Persia The Lost Crown at ≈ 182k–295k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 205 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lone Fungus
2023
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$162k–$436k after Steam's cut $295k–$671k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–71k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$239k–$643k after Steam's cut $435k–$989k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Fallen Rebellion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Super Win the Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$333k before Steam's cut
$7.99
654 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Aeterna Noctis
2021
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Genopanic
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Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$8.99
385 reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaAtmospheric
You are Peter Shorts
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut
$14.99
210 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaBeat 'em up

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.