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How many copies did Aim Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 247k–402k
$339k–$912k after Steam's cut $617k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aim Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aim Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–41.2M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Aim Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–41.2M copies

≈ $33.4M–$72.9M after Steam's cut

from ~152k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
65x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Krunker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 650k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mostly Positive
ShooterFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.