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How many copies did Dwarrows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$113k before Steam's cut
from 133 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dwarrows and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Dwarrows's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 625–1k
best case 104k (Game of Thrones Winter is Coming)
Games like Dwarrows

A typical game among these

≈ 625–1k copies

≈ $699–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 7 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Game of Thrones Winter is Coming at ≈ 80k–129k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 35.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (7 of 7) and Simulation (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Fantasy. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Massively Multiplayer + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Restaurant Manager
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$273–$735 after Steam's cut $496–$1k before Steam's cut
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IndieEarly Access
Game of Thrones Winter is Coming
2019
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≈ 80k–129k
102x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
Free
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Mixed
Free to PlayStrategy
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2.2x vs typical
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SimulationStrategy
Feelin
2018
Est. copies
≈ 638–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$6.99
21 reviews
Mixed
SandboxBuilding
Age of Jura
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Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$9.99
36 reviews
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IndieDinosaurs
Double Trouble
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
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Positive
Exploration3D Platformer
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.