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How many copies did Restaurant Manager sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$273–$735 after Steam's cut $496–$1k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Restaurant Manager and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Restaurant Manager's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–48k
best case 104k (Game of Thrones Winter is Coming)
Games like Restaurant Manager

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–48k copies

≈ $41k–$106k after Steam's cut

from ~454 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Game of Thrones Winter is Coming at ≈ 80k–129k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 62 reviews in their first month; the range was 27 to 302.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 7) and City Builder (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Fantasy.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Citadels
2013
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$532k before Steam's cut
$14.99
494 reviews
Very Negative
StrategyAction
Game of Thrones Winter is Coming
2019
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayStrategy
Real estate tycoon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$91k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$10.99
454 reviews
Mixed
Zoo 2: Animal Park
2020
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualBuilding
Dwarrows
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$113k before Steam's cut
$29.99
133 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerCity Builder
Novastella Island
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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327 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessBuilding
Sebil Engineering
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$11.99
96 reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerEducation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.