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How many copies did Sebil Engineering sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
from 96 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sebil Engineering and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sebil Engineering's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–16.5M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Sebil Engineering

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–16.5M copies

≈ $12.5M–$85.3M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 515.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Education (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Master Maker 3D Ultimate
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before Steam's cut
$1.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
The Last Campfire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
3D PUZZLE - Japan
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$64k–$172k after Steam's cut $117k–$265k before Steam's cut
$199.99
47 reviews
Mixed
Action Roguelike3D Platformer
Robotics in VR_Close 1 generation
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23 reviews
Positive
EducationAnimation & Modeling
World of Guns: Gun Disassembly
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

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