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How many copies did 3D PUZZLE - Japan sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$64k–$172k after Steam's cut $117k–$265k before Steam's cut
from 47 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 3D PUZZLE - Japan and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 3D PUZZLE - Japan's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 19k (ALTF42)
Games like 3D PUZZLE - Japan

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $1k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~39 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ALTF42 at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $31k–$84k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 429.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Fantasy, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Comedy + Fantasy + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ALTF42
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$7.99
575 reviews
Mostly Positive
ComedyFantasy
A Normal Home İn Ohio
2023
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$155–$417 after Steam's cut $282–$642 before Steam's cut
$0.99
23 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Naginata
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Locuras en el Banaverso
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$9.99
47 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
3D PUZZLE - Modern House
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$63k–$169k after Steam's cut $114k–$260k before Steam's cut
$199.99
46 reviews
Mixed
Challenge Dream Cat
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$432–$1k after Steam's cut $786–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
64 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
BJORN
2022
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
39 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationMetroidvania
Kukui
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
35 reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.