How much revenue did Kukui make?

Kukui is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Kukui sell?

Q: How many copies did Kukui sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 35 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; from 35 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kukui and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kukui's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–5.6M

best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)

Games like Kukui

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–5.6M copies

≈ $40.7M–$51.4M after Steam's cut

from ~122k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 68k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror + Visual Novel + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Blender 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Animation & ModelingSoftware
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Resident Evil Village 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	155k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Resident Evil 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.3M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorAction