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How many copies did Primal Carnage: Onslaught sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Primal Carnage: Onslaught and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Primal Carnage: Onslaught's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147–163
best case 25k (Robinson: The Journey)
Games like Primal Carnage: Onslaught

A typical game among these

≈ 147–163 copies

≈ $770–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~5 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Robinson: The Journey at ≈ 19k–31k copies, ≈ $104k–$280k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 32.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Dinosaurs (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Robinson: The Journey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
110x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$104k–$280k after Steam's cut $189k–$430k before Steam's cut
$19.99
550 reviews
Mixed
VRDinosaurs
Atlantis Adventure VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$852–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$24.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
VRAction
ARK Park
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
90x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$151k–$406k after Steam's cut $275k–$625k before Steam's cut
$39.99
452 reviews
Mixed
AdventureDinosaurs
Time Machine VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$166k before Steam's cut
$29.99
117 reviews
Mixed
VRAdventure
Dragon VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
127 reviews
Mixed
CasualVR
ANCIENT SOCCER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$172–$455 after Steam's cut $312–$700 before Steam's cut
$24.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionVR
Wings Of Legends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Earthling of Gaia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionBeat 'em up

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