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How many copies did Red Faction®: Armageddon™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 318k–517k
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Red Faction®: Armageddon™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Faction®: Armageddon™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 124k–339k
best case 375k (Destroy All Humans!)
Games like Red Faction®: Armageddon™

A typical game among these

≈ 124k–339k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Destroy All Humans! at ≈ 285k–464k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sci-fi (6 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Villain Protagonist + Aliens, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Destroy All Humans!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 285k–464k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Destroy All Humans! 2 - Reprobed
2022
Est. copies
≈ 79k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$874k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third-Person ShooterAliens
Red Faction Guerrilla Re-Mars-tered
2018
Est. copies
≈ 135k–220k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$744k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
DestructionOpen World
Red Faction Guerrilla Steam Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 487k–792k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDestruction
Starpoint Gemini 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
4k reviews
Mixed
SpaceSimulation
AFTERBURN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$108k before Steam's cut
$9.99
330 reviews
Very Positive
FlightThird-Person Shooter
Ghostbusters: The Video Game Remastered
2020
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction
Exoprimal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 110k–178k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ActionShooter

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