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How many copies did Life is Strange: Before the Storm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
from 38k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Life is Strange: Before the Storm and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Life is Strange: Before the Storm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.7M–39.8M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Life is Strange: Before the Storm

A typical game among these

≈ 14.7M–39.8M copies

≈ $85.5M–$598.7M after Steam's cut

from ~343k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 3) and Open World (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.