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How many copies did Zup! 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 193k–313k
$106k–$284k after Steam's cut $192k–$437k before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zup! 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zup! 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122k–228k
best case 487k (Zup!)
Games like Zup! 3

A typical game among these

≈ 122k–228k copies

≈ $94k–$175k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Zup! at ≈ 371k–603k copies, ≈ $203k–$546k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fast-Paced (8 of 8) and Physics (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Fast-Paced, priced around $2.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zup!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$203k–$546k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! 5
2017
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $103k–$235k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! Z
2020
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Zup! 8
2018
Est. copies
≈ 136k–220k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$307k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! Zero
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94k–154k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$214k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! 6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$157k–$422k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before Steam's cut
$1.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zup! 9
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.