How much revenue did DEFCON VR make?

DEFCON VR is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did DEFCON VR sell?

Q: How many copies did DEFCON VR sell?

998 to 2k copies, based on its 29 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 998–2k; from 29 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DEFCON VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEFCON VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 986–7.2M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like DEFCON VR

A typical game among these

≈ 986–7.2M copies

≈ $22k–$845k after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 40k reviews in their first month.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 165x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Hand Simulator: Survival 2019	Est. copies ≈ 284k–461k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $233k–$627k after Steam's cut $424k–$965k before Steam's cut	$2.99	10k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 154x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
FPV Kamikaze Drone 2023	Est. copies ≈ 323k–526k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $969k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$5.99	13k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAction
Soldiers Of Freedom 2017	Est. copies ≈ 550–894 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $603–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$3.99	16 reviews Negative	ActionIndie
Baby Shark VR Dancing 2020	Est. copies ≈ 818–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	33 reviews Mixed	VRCartoon
Crisis Brigade 2 reloaded 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $47k–$126k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut	$19.99	343 reviews Very Positive	ActionVR
Homaysa 2022	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$675 before Steam's cut	$5.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Early AccessMultiplayer