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How many copies did Wild Guns Reloaded sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$71k–$191k after Steam's cut $129k–$294k before Steam's cut
from 501 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wild Guns Reloaded and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wild Guns Reloaded's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–673k
best case 3.7M (Call of Juarez: Gunslinger)
Games like Wild Guns Reloaded

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–673k copies

≈ $1.2M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Call of Juarez: Gunslinger at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 431 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (4 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Western + FPS, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry FPS + Story Rich + Comedy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 2.8M–4.6M
5.4x vs typical
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