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How many copies did Skautfold: Usurper sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
from 343 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Skautfold: Usurper and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Skautfold: Usurper's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–32k
best case 234k (Sundered®: Eldritch Edition)
Games like Skautfold: Usurper

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–32k copies

≈ $41k–$270k after Steam's cut

from ~557 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sundered®: Eldritch Edition at ≈ 178k–290k copies, ≈ $979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 201 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 316.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguevania + Metroidvania, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
Elderand
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$112k–$302k after Steam's cut $204k–$465k before Steam's cut
$19.99
824 reviews
Mostly Positive
Nakawak: Expanded Color Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 998–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
29 reviews
Mostly Positive
OUTBUDDIES DX
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut
$17.99
288 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieMetroidvania
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$161k–$433k after Steam's cut $293k–$665k before Steam's cut
$24.99
944 reviews
Mostly Positive
Batbarian: Testament of the Primordials
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$14.99
289 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Nitrojet
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
MetroidvaniaDestruction
Voidwrought
2024
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$142k–$381k after Steam's cut $258k–$586k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.