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How many copies did Nakawak: Expanded Color Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 998–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 29 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nakawak: Expanded Color Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nakawak: Expanded Color Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–469k
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Nakawak: Expanded Color Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–469k copies

≈ $29k–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~692 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 289 reviews in their first month; the range was 38 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Lovecraftian (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
1217x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
52x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Angel's Gear
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$76k before Steam's cut
$9.99
268 reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Voidwrought
2024
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$142k–$381k after Steam's cut $258k–$586k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Marrow
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$9.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
The Tower on the Borderland
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$15.99
72 reviews
Very Positive
LovecraftianSurvival Horror
Skautfold: Usurper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$9.99
343 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie

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