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How many copies did Dark Prospect sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Prospect and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Prospect's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.3M–72.0M
best case 129.3M (Terraria)
Games like Dark Prospect

A typical game among these

≈ 18.3M–72.0M copies

≈ $212.0M–$459.2M after Steam's cut

from ~480k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and Historical (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Empires of the Undergrowth
2024
Est. copies
≈ 470k–764k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Cossacks 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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