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How many copies did Dead Exit sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 36 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Exit and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Exit's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.4M–24.1M
best case 40.1M (Project Zomboid)
Games like Dead Exit

A typical game among these

≈ 13.4M–24.1M copies

≈ $293.7M–$368.4M after Steam's cut

from ~352k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Project Zomboid at ≈ 30.5M–49.6M copies, ≈ $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (4 of 4) and Co-op (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.