How much revenue did Gothic 1 make?

$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gothic 1 sell?

Q: How many copies did Gothic 1 sell?

1.2M to 1.9M copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–1.9M; $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gothic 1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gothic 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–7.1M

best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)

Games like Gothic 1

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–7.1M copies

≈ $27.7M–$71.8M after Steam's cut

from ~83k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas 2008	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Mafia II (Classic) 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	59k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut 2008	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–9.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.2M–$40.9M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	88k reviews Very Positive	RPGFantasy
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$19.99	0 reviews No user reviews	RPGOpen World
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	132k reviews Very Positive	RPGStory Rich
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGOpen World
BioShock™ Remastered 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.9M–$40.1M after Steam's cut $27.1M–$61.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	65k reviews Very Positive	FPS Story Rich