How much revenue did Mafia II (Classic) make?

$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mafia II (Classic) sell?

Q: How many copies did Mafia II (Classic) sell?

3.7M to 6.0M copies, based on its 59k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.7M–6.0M; $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut; from 59k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mafia II (Classic) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mafia II (Classic)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.2M

best case 3.6M (Mafia: Definitive Edition)

Games like Mafia II (Classic)

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–4.2M copies

≈ $23.7M–$45.4M after Steam's cut

from ~71k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mafia: Definitive Edition at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 32k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crime (8 of 8) and Open World (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mafia III: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.5M after Steam's cut $24.0M–$54.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	64k reviews Mixed	CrimeOpen World
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.6M–$66.2M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Sleeping Dogs unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 428k–696k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Mafia II: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 967k–1.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$33.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas 2008	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Yakuza 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAction
L.A. Noire 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime