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How many copies did Fidget Spinner sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–37k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
from 667 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fidget Spinner and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fidget Spinner's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.3M
best case 15.0M (Call of Duty®: Black Ops III)
Games like Fidget Spinner

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–4.3M copies

≈ $3.8M–$126.5M after Steam's cut

from ~61k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Call of Duty®: Black Ops III at ≈ 11.4M–18.6M copies, ≈ $188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + FPS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
Clicker Heroes
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
62k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.