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How many copies did Fallen Cube sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$421–$1k after Steam's cut $766–$2k before Steam's cut
from 45 reviews (Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallen Cube and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Cube's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 725–968
best case 25k (The Adventures of Mr. Bobley)
Games like Fallen Cube

A typical game among these

≈ 725–968 copies

≈ $2k–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Adventures of Mr. Bobley at ≈ 19k–31k copies, ≈ $11k–$28k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 35.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Platformer, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry 3D + Platformer + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Into the Sinkhole
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
165 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerExploration
Naginata
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
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Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Worm Runner
2022
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
32 reviews
Mixed
CasualArcade
HopDodge
2023
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
23 reviews
Positive
ExplorationSide Scroller
The Adventures of Mr. Bobley
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
394 reviews
Mixed
Puzzle-Platformer3D Platformer
UpWakeNing
2020
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Uligo: A Slime's Hike
2022
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
WTF platformer
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
3D PlatformerPhysics

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