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How many copies did DESOLATE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 232k–377k
$957k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DESOLATE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DESOLATE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261k–11.6M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like DESOLATE

A typical game among these

≈ 261k–11.6M copies

≈ $3.4M–$162.4M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 243 to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Open World (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rake
2015
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$294k–$790k after Steam's cut $534k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
34x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ZOMBI
2015
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$846k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesSurvival
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.8M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
381k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Darkwood
2017
Est. copies
≈ 861k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Osiris: New Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftHorror
INFLUXIS
2026
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
257 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessOpen World

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