How much revenue did Darkwood make?

$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Darkwood sell?

Q: How many copies did Darkwood sell?

861k to 1.4M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 861k–1.4M; $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darkwood and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darkwood's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–118k

best case 361k (Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition)

Games like Darkwood

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–118k copies

≈ $224k–$579k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition at ≈ 275k–447k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 781 reviews in their first month; the range was 502 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Survival Horror (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Psychological Horror, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Multiple Endings + Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Endoparasitic 2022	Est. copies ≈ 77k–125k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $211k–$567k after Steam's cut $383k–$872k before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Blackout Z: Slaughterhouse Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 67k–109k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $92k–$246k after Steam's cut $167k–$379k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Boris and the Dark Survival 2020	Est. copies ≈ 92k–150k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
HellSign 2021	Est. copies ≈ 57k–92k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $312k–$838k after Steam's cut $566k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mixed	SupernaturalHorror
The Count Lucanor 2016	Est. copies ≈ 125k–203k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $343k–$923k after Steam's cut $624k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	GoreHorror
Distrust: Polar Survival 2017	Est. copies ≈ 88k–143k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$12.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalIsometric
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$16.99	10k reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePixel Graphics
Night Raider 2024	Est. copies ≈ 49k–80k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$333k before Steam's cut	$5.99	2k reviews Very Positive	AdventureGun Customization