How much revenue did Distrust: Polar Survival make?

$315k–$846k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Distrust: Polar Survival sell?

Q: How many copies did Distrust: Polar Survival sell?

88k to 143k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 88k–143k; $315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Distrust: Polar Survival and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Distrust: Polar Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–69k

best case 644k (Unrailed!)

Games like Distrust: Polar Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–69k copies

≈ $219k–$423k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Unrailed! at ≈ 491k–798k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 715 reviews in their first month; the range was 180 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Trains, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Co-op + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
10 Miles To Safety 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–40k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $68k–$184k after Steam's cut $124k–$283k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyAction
FatalZone 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–92k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut	$6.99	2k reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Trigon: Space Story 2022	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$802k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mixed	IsometricRogue-like
Unrailed! 2020	Est. copies ≈ 491k–798k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCo-op
From Glory To Goo 2024	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$622k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
The Flame in the Flood 2016	Est. copies ≈ 304k–494k 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalAdventure
West of Dead 2020	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $304k–$817k after Steam's cut $553k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Replay ValueRogue-like
Overcrowd: A Commute 'Em Up 2020	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$997k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Management City Builder