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How many copies did FatalZone sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 56k–92k
$109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FatalZone and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FatalZone's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–1.7M
best case 3.9M (Brotato)
Games like FatalZone

A typical game among these

≈ 88k–1.7M copies

≈ $250k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brotato at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 409 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Action Roguelike, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
God Of Weapons
2023
Est. copies
≈ 130k–212k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$215k–$577k after Steam's cut $390k–$888k before Steam's cut
$5.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeInventory Management
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Atomicrops
2020
Est. copies
≈ 158k–256k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$649k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Scarlet Tower
2024
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$81k–$219k after Steam's cut $148k–$337k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
VampireAction Roguelike
Army of Ruin
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$635k before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Nomad Survival
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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