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How big is SAS: Zombie Assault 4?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 334k–543k
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SAS: Zombie Assault 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SAS: Zombie Assault 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–15.5M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like SAS: Zombie Assault 4

A typical game among these

≈ 7.8M–15.5M copies

≈ $78.4M–$93.6M after Steam's cut

from ~213k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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HuntingOpen World
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2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
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$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
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Open WorldExtraction Shooter
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.2M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
145k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRemake
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer

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