How much revenue did Space Dragon make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Space Dragon sell?

Q: How many copies did Space Dragon sell?

447 to 727 copies, based on its 13 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 447–727; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Dragon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Dragon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.8M

best case 2.8M (SteamVR)

Games like Space Dragon

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.8M copies

≈ $11.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SteamVR at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 73k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Flight (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Software.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SteamVR unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	87k reviews Very Positive	VRSoftware
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	73k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationFlight
Pavlov 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	VRShooter
VR Jetpack Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	52 reviews Mostly Positive	VRFlight
DCS World Steam Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
X-Plane 11 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	20k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
Battle Arena VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	55 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionFighting
Ultimate Wall Defense Force 2020	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$14.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	VRAction