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How many copies did Vigil: The Longest Night sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–147k
$548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $997k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vigil: The Longest Night and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vigil: The Longest Night's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 215k–1.5M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Vigil: The Longest Night

A typical game among these

≈ 215k–1.5M copies

≈ $1.9M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Souls-like (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Salt and Sanctuary
2016
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Death's Gambit: Afterlife
2018
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$939k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
The Last Faith
2023
Est. copies
≈ 141k–229k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$27.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Minoria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $764k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMetroidvania
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist
2025
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.