Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Penkura sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
from 202 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Penkura and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Penkura's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–2.9M
best case 3.9M (Green Hell)
Games like Penkura

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–2.9M copies

≈ $22.6M–$31.9M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Green Hell at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (3 of 3) and Crafting (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 3 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Abiotic Factor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.8M–$58.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurvivalOnline Co-Op
Stormworks: Build and Rescue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxBase-Building
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.