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How many copies did Rain of Arrows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$305–$826 after Steam's cut $555–$1k before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rain of Arrows and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rain of Arrows's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236–508
best case 365k (The Lab)
Games like Rain of Arrows

A typical game among these

≈ 236–508 copies

≈ $601–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Lab at ≈ 278k–452k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 573.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Archery (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Peace Maker VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$238–$642 after Steam's cut $433–$988 before Steam's cut
$6.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
VROn-Rails Shooter
The Lab
2016
Est. copies
≈ 278k–452k
582x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayVR
Holopoint
2016
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
61x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$88k–$237k after Steam's cut $160k–$365k before Steam's cut
$10.99
702 reviews
Very Positive
SportsVR
Elven Assassin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
57x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$89k–$240k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut
$19.99
656 reviews
Very Positive
ActionVR
In Death
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
86x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
994 reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Archery RED
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$544–$1k after Steam's cut $989–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Early AccessRobots
PlanTechtor
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432–702
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$355–$955 after Steam's cut $646–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
15 reviews
Positive
ActionIndie
FERD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$19.99
15 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.