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How many copies did A Sky Full of Stars 仰望夜空的星辰 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–57k
$174k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$721k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Sky Full of Stars 仰望夜空的星辰 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Sky Full of Stars 仰望夜空的星辰's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 343k–450k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like A Sky Full of Stars 仰望夜空的星辰

A typical game among these

≈ 343k–450k copies

≈ $830k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 856k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 800 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Dating Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Psychological Horror, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror + Horror + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$465k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $845k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive

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