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How many copies did Occupy Mars: The Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 79k–128k
$649k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Occupy Mars: The Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Occupy Mars: The Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 268k–2.8M
best case 9.1M (Satisfactory)
Games like Occupy Mars: The Game

A typical game among these

≈ 268k–2.8M copies

≈ $3.7M–$30.1M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Satisfactory at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 959 to 184k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (6 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Automation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Astrometica
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Space SimSurvival
Nova Lands
2023
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$482k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $877k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AutomationBase-Building
The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
Eco
2018
Est. copies
≈ 428k–696k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSimulation
Forager
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.8M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Ylands
2019
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
AdventureMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.