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How many copies did Astrometica sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 80k–129k
$437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astrometica and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astrometica's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 459k–2.2M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Astrometica

A typical game among these

≈ 459k–2.2M copies

≈ $3.6M–$41.6M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (7 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Osiris: New Dawn
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Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Open World Survival CraftHorror
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Star Trucker
2024
Est. copies
≈ 134k–217k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$920k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
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TransportationSpace Sim
Space Haven
2026
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingSpace
Planetbase
2015
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
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No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Surviving Mars
2018
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Mostly Positive
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.