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How many copies did Rules Of Survival sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 151k–246k
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rules Of Survival and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rules Of Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–106k
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Rules Of Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 38k–106k copies

≈ $107k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 230 reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 424.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Survival + Physics + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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MultiplayerPhysics

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