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How many copies did Radical Heights sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 295k–480k
from 10k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Radical Heights and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Radical Heights's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–6.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Radical Heights

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–6.3M copies

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 25k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (8 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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2017
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28x vs typical
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SurvivalShooter
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Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodhunt
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MultiplayerBattle Royale
Z1 Battle Royale
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≈ 6.2M–10.0M
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SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Super Animal Royale
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NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.