How much revenue did Tomb Raider: Underworld make?

$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tomb Raider: Underworld sell?

Q: How many copies did Tomb Raider: Underworld sell?

439k to 713k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 439k–713k; $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tomb Raider: Underworld and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Tomb Raider: Underworld's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.0M–39.2M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like Tomb Raider: Underworld

A typical game among these

≈ 18.0M–39.2M copies

≈ $114.0M–$234.6M after Steam's cut

from ~423k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Character Customization (2 of 4), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Character Customization (2 of 4) and Female Protagonist (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer